Original-Research: Delticom AG (von Quirin Privatbank Kapitalmarktgeschäft): BUY

Classification of Quirin Privatbank Kapitalmarktgeschäft to Delticom AG

Company Name:	Delticom AG
ISIN:	DE0005146807
Reason for the research:	Update
Recommendation:	BUY
from:	01.12.2025
Target price:	3.80
Last rating change:
Analyst:	Daniel Kukalj, CIIA, CEFA

A strong final quarter is expected

Following a solid Q3 in terms of topline revenue and a satisfactory start to the winter tire business at the beginning of the fourth quarter, Delticom increased its revenue forecast for the 2025 financial year and now expects revenue to be in the range of EUR 490m to EUR 510m (QPe: EUR 501m; previous company forecast: EUR 470m to EUR 490m). With TTM revenue at EUR 506m, we do not consider this uplift to be surprising or unachievable. In recent days, demand is also likely to have been positively influenced by weather conditions. Management continues to forecast operating EBITDA in the range of EUR 19-21m. Looking at the last Q4 of previous years, a strong Q4 is not surprising, so we consider the forecast to be achievable. After nine months, net income stood at EUR -3.2m, so we expect net income for this year to be slightly below last year's level. The company has shown that despite poor consumer sentiment in Germany, top-line growth is continuing, with price effects most likely supporting sales growth. We expect sales to continue to rise moderately in the coming years, with a focus on stable earnings development and possible earnings increases. Noteworthy, the EU has launched a second punitive tariff procedure against passenger car tires from China: In addition to the ongoing anti-dumping procedure, there is now an anti-subsidy procedure due to possible state aid. Both could result in punitive tariffs, which would likely make Chinese tires in the EU significantly more expensive and scarce. Applying our ROE/COE valuation approach, we derive a new fair value of 3.80 (3.90), therefore we confirm our BUY rating.
 

You can download the research here: DELTICOM_AG_20251201
For additional information visit our website: https://research.quirinprivatbank.de/

Contact for questions:
Quirin Privatbank AG
Institutionelles Research
Schillerstraße 20
60313 Frankfurt am Main
research@quirinprivatbank.de
https://research.quirinprivatbank.de/